Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens – Week 10 NFL Pick

110
Browns at Ravens Pick
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In a big Sunday AFC Central game, the division leading Baltimore Ravens play host to the Cleveland Browns.

The Ravens come into this game as a 6-point favorite with the total sitting at a low 38.5. The public has been backing the hometown Ravens in this division clash, as they opened as a 5.5-point favorite and are at -6 as of Thursday.

The Browns moved to 5-3 on the season with an impressive defensive performance in a 27-0 home win over the Arizona Cardinals in their last game. They covered the spread as a 13-point favorite and they have covered in three of their last four games including their last two.

The 7-2 Ravens won their fourth in a row in their last game with a 37-3 blowout win at home over the Seattle Seahawks. They easily covered as a 6.5-point favorite and they have covered the spread in three of the last four games.

These teams met in Week 4 in Cleveland where the Ravens laid a 28-3 beat down on the Browns.

On the season the Browns are 5-3 ATS with an O/U record of 3-4-1 and the Ravens are 6-3 ATS with an O/U record of 3-6.

The Strength Shows

The Browns are led by a defense that ranks third in the NFL in points allowed and that D was on display in their shutout win over the Cardinals in their last game. They only allowed a grand total of 58 yards, gained 326 yards, and forced three turnovers and did not commit any.

In the blowout win over Arizona Deshaun Watson passed for 219 yards with two TD and no INT, Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt combined for 82 rushing yards, and Amari Cooper had a big game with 139 receiving yards and a TD.

On the season the Browns rank 14th in the NFL in scoring (22.6 ppg), 29th in passing yards per game, and third in rushing yards per game.

Watson (902 yards 6 TD 3 INT) has been banged up the season only appearing in five games and only ranks 23rd in the league in QBR. With star RB Nick Chubb out for the season Ford leads the team with 425 yards and Hunt has only 196 yards and is averaging a paltry 3.3 yards per carry. Cooper is the only player with more than 319 receiving yards and has at least 89 in three of the last four games.

Watson and company will be facing a Ravens’ defense that ranks first in the league in points against (13.8 ppg), second against the pass, and eighth against the run.

Dominant Game

In their 37-3 blowout win over the Seahawks in their last game the Ravens outgained them 515 yards to 151 yards and only gave up 28 rushing yards while they rushed for 298 yards.

In the Seattle win Lamar Jackson passed for 187 yards with no TD and no INT and rushed for 60 yards. Keaton Mitchell rushed for 138 yards and a score, and Mark Andrews led the team with 80 receiving yards.

In the 28-3 lambasting of the Browns in Week 4, the Ravens forced three turnovers and did not commit any and held Cleveland to only 166 yards.

Baltimore ranks sixth in the NFL in scoring (26.6 ppg), 20th in passing yards per game, and first in rushing yards per game.

Jackson (1,954 yards 9 TD 3 INT) ranks 11th in the NFL in QBR, has four TD and no INT in the last three games, and has rushed for over 100 total yards in the last three games. he and Gus Edwards have combined for 918 rushing yards and 12 TD and Mitchell had no carries in his first two games before blowing up for 138 yards on nine carries in the last game.

The Ravens will be facing a Cleveland defense that ranks third in the league in points against (17.4 ppg), first in pass defense, and sixth in run defense.

Betting Trends

The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games facing a team with a winning home record.

The Browns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.

The Browns have an Over record of 4-0 in their last four road games.

The Ravens are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games.

The Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games facing a team with a winning record.

The Ravens have an Under record of 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

 OUR PICK UNDER 38

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