Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks – Week 15 NFL Pick

eagles at seahawks pick
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The Seahawks are desperate for a win and on Monday night host the Eagles, who have been grounded losing two in a row.

The Eagles are a 3-point road favorite in this NFC clash with a total of 47.5. The public has been backing the Seahawks, as they opened as a 3.5-pount underdog and as of Friday are a 3-point dog.

The Eagles fell to 10-3 and out of first place in the NFC East with their second loss in a row in their last game in a bad 33-13 road loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Philly failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog and they have not covered the spread in their last two games.

The reeling Seahawks fell below .500 (6-7) in their last game losing their fourth in a row in a 28-16 road loss to the San Francisco 49ers. They did cover the spread as a big 16.5-point underdog and while dropping four straight they have covered in three of those games including the last two.

On the season the Eagles are 6-4-3 ATS with an O/U record of 7-6 and the Seahawks are 6-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 6-7.

These teams have not met since the 2020 season.

Have to Get Back on Track

Ok, so the Eagles have played two tough teams in the last two weeks in the 49ers and Cowboys, but they were outscored 75-32.

In the loss to the Cowboys the Eagles fell behind 24-6 at the half, were outgained 394 yards to 324 yards, and committed three turnovers while only forcing one.

In the bad Dallas loss Jalen Hurts passed for 197 yards with no TD and no INT before leaving the game when it was a blowout. D’Andre Swift led the team with 39 yards only averaging 3.5 yards per carry and A.J. Brown had 94 receiving yards.

Hurts (3,192 yards 19 TD 10 INT) ranks eighth in the league in QBR and while he has not been picked off in the last two games, he only has one TD. Swift (822 yards 4 TD) has only totaled 52 yards in the last two games and Brown has 17 catches in the last two games for 208 receiving yards but not TD.

There is a chance the Eagles’ offense will get back on track facing a Seattle defense that only ranks 26th in the league in points against (24.5 ppg), 25th against the pass, and 23rdagainst the run.

Desperation Time

A few weeks back it looked as if the Seahawks would be playoff bound for the season straight season. However, with their four-game skid they are on the outside looking in and need a strong finish in their last four games to make the post-season.

In the loss to the 49ers in their last game Seattle was outgained 527 yards to 324 yards and only rushed for 70 yards while giving up 173 yards on the ground. Drew Lock passed for 269 yards with two TD and two INT, Zach Charbonnet rushed for 44 yards, and Tyler Lockett had 89 receiving yards.

Geno Smith (2,918 yards 15 TD 9 INT) missed the last game with a groin injury and if he cannot go Lock (335 yards 2 TD 3 INT) will make his second start of the season.

Kenneth Walker (634 yards 6 TD) leads the team in rushing yards but only has 39 yards in the last two games. Lockett and D.J. Metcalf have combined for 1,575 receiving yards and 11 TD.

The Seahawks rank tied for 17th in the NFL in scoring (21.5 ppg), 15th in passing yards per game, and 28th in rushing yards per game.

The Eagles’ defense has been shredded in the last two weeks and on the season rank 28thin points against (24.7 ppg), 28th in pass D, and sixth in run D.

Betting Trends

The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.

The Eagles have an Under record of 5-1 in their last six road games.

The Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games.

The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog.

The Seahawks have an Over record of 4-1 in their last five home games.

Here our the score predictions from our model on this game. There are 3 predictions. The first uses data from the entire season. The 2nd uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd uses data from the last 7 games.

Philadelphia              -4.0          26           
Seattle                   47.0          25
Philadelphia              -4.0          29           
Seattle                   47.0          39
Philadelphia              -4.0          31           
Seattle                   47.0          26
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