West Virginia vs. Missouri – Week 2 NCAAF Free Pick – 9/7/19

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missouri hosts wva week 2 college football pick
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Missouri will host West Virginia in week two college football betting action as hefty -14 point favorites with a total of 62.5. Mizu opened as a -10.5 point fav at 5 dimes sportsbook but early money on Mizu has pushed that number to 14.

While the Mountaineers won their opener, they were far from impressive beating James Madison 20-13. They have not met the Tigers since the 2016 season when they were at Mizzou and lost 26-11.

Drew Lock is now in the NFL and Mizzou is led by former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant. He had a huge first game for the Tigers, but the defense let them down in the upset loss and Bryant made some costly mistakes.

WVU is only 0-3-1 ATS in their last four road games while Missouri has covered the spread in eight of their last 11 home games.

Kendall Saves the Day

Oklahoma graduate transfer QB Austin Kendall saved the day for WVU in the win over #2 ranked FCS team James Madison leading his team to 10 4th quarter points. The Mountaineers were sluggish on offense and while the run game and offensive line was supposed to be the strengths of the team both units did not play well.

Kendall passed for 260 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT, but the run game only managed 34 rushing yards. Martell Pettaway led the team with only 20 rushing yards on nine carries and the O-line let James Madison to get into the backfield way too often.

WVU does have a deep backfield and at least in this game they will be facing a Mizzou run defense that gave up nearly 300 rushing yards in their loss to Wyoming.

The defensive line for the Mountaineers also did not play well giving up 172 rushing yards to James Madison.

 Mistakes Hurt, Big Time

In their loss to Wyoming in the opener the Tigers out gained the Cowboys 537 yards to 389 yards but had three costly turnovers while not forcing any. Bryant did pass for 423 yards with a couple of TD’s but also tossed an INT in the end-zone and had a fumble that was returned for a TD. On top of that Mizzou also had another fumble on the Wyoming 1-yard line.

Missouri was a 2-TD favorite over Wyoming and racked up the yards, but the turnovers killed them and they gave up 297 rushing yards.

The Tigers also could not get much going on the ground and Bryant had to carry the offense with his arm. They did rush for 114 yards, but Tyler Badie (53 rushing yards) and Larry Rountree III (41 rushing yards) only averaged 3.3 and 2.7 yards per carry, respectively.

Roundtree III rushed for over 1,200 yards last season and he has to help Bryant out in this game and for the season. Look for him to have a solid game against WVU, who have issues in the run defense, which showed in the win over James Madison.

 Our Prediction

While Missouri has covered the spread in five of their last seven games following a loss, they have only covered in one of their last seven games facing teams from the Big 12.

The Tigers will clean things up in their house in this game and get the W, but West Virginia will give them a game and the Mountaineers are the pick to cover the spread.

PICK:West Virginia +14

Read our season previews for Missouri and West Virginia