Boise State at Utah State Free College Football Pick – 9/25/21

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boise state at utah state free cfb pick
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Boise State at Utah State

Boise State hits the road this week to take on Utah State as -9 point favorites. The current total on the game is 69.5. Kickoff is set for 12 noon EST and the game can be seen on CBS.

Boise State stands at 1-2 so far this season after dropping a big game at home to Oklahoma State, 21-20, last week. The loss of course, hurts Boise State nationally. But the good news is, they have a clean slate in conference play as this will be game #1 of their MWC schedule.

Utah State is off to a 3-0 start and they have proved they can hang points on the board. More importantly they knocked off Air Force last week in MWC play to go 1-0 in conference play. Both Boise and Utah State are in the MWC Mountain division making this a key conference matchup.

Head to Head History

head-to-head history (lined games):
  
10/24/2020  Utah State               13  +17.0  at Boise State              42
11/23/2019  Boise State              56  - 9.0  at Utah State               21
11/24/2018  Utah State               24  + 3.0  at Boise State              33
10/28/2017  Boise State              41  -10.0  at Utah State               14
10/ 1/2016  Utah State               10  +23.0  at Boise State              21
10/16/2015  Boise State              26  - 8.0  at Utah State               52
11/29/2014  Utah State               19  + 9.5  at Boise State              50
10/12/2013  Boise State              34  - 6.5  at Utah State               23
12/ 4/2010  Utah State               14  +38.0  at Boise State              50
11/20/2009  Boise State              52  -23.5  at Utah State               21
11/ 8/2008  Utah State               14  +35.5  at Boise State              49
11/10/2007  Boise State              52  -24.5  at Utah State                0
11/18/2006  Utah State               10  +38.0  at Boise State              49
10/22/2005  Boise State              45  -18.5  at Utah State               21
 9/28/2002  Utah State               38  +15.5  at Boise State              63
11/11/2000  Utah State               38  +17.0  at Boise State              66
10/30/1999  Boise State              33  + 3.0  at Utah State               27
10/24/1998  Utah State               16  + 1.0  at Boise State              30
11/ 1/1997  Boise State              20  +24.0  at Utah State               24
10/19/1996  Utah State               39  - 9.5  at Boise State              14
 9/ 9/1995  Boise State              38  - 4.5  at Utah State               14

Just as we have mentioned many times in other articles, looking at the history between two schools often tells us plenty.

You can tell by taking a glance at the 20 games listed above in the head to head history that one team attracts better talent than the other, year after year.

In fact, if you made the line Boise State -9 (this weeks line) in all 20 games listed above, the Broncos would stand at 16-4 against the spread.

Already 0-1 in conference play, you can expect that Utah State will get Boise States full attention this week.

Our model has Boise on top by 13 to 16 points so we’ll lay the spot here with the Broncos.

Boise State -9