North Carolina at Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech returns home this week to take on North Carolina as two teams from the ACC Coastal division hook up. North Carolina is favored by 12 on the road with a total of 63. Kickoff is 7:30 PM EST and the game can be seen on the ACC Network.
It’s tough to get a read on Georgia Tech in the early going of 2021. They dropped their first game to Northern Illinois 21-20. They followed that up by blowing out Kennesaw State, as they should have. Then last week they were stopped on the 1 yard line with 15 seconds to go, losing to Clemson 14-8.
It’s worth noting that the Clemson game was delayed by lightening. It was a lengthy delay so who knows what impact that had on both teams.
North Carolina stumbled out of the gate with their high powered offense scoring just 10 points against Virginia Tech in a 17-10 loss. But it looks like the Tar Heels are back on track as they scored 59 points in each of their games the past two weeks.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
10/ 5/2019 North Carolina 38 -10.0 at Georgia Tech 22
11/ 3/2018 Georgia Tech 38 - 4.0 at North Carolina 28
9/30/2017 North Carolina 7 +10.0 at Georgia Tech 33
11/ 5/2016 Georgia Tech 20 +12.5 at North Carolina 48
10/ 3/2015 North Carolina 38 + 6.5 at Georgia Tech 31
10/18/2014 Georgia Tech 43 - 1.0 at North Carolina 48
9/21/2013 North Carolina 20 + 6.5 at Georgia Tech 28
11/10/2012 Georgia Tech 68 + 8.0 at North Carolina 50
9/24/2011 North Carolina 28 + 6.5 at Georgia Tech 35
9/18/2010 Georgia Tech 30 + 2.5 at North Carolina 24
9/26/2009 North Carolina 7 + 3.0 at Georgia Tech 24
11/ 8/2008 Georgia Tech 7 + 4.0 at North Carolina 28
11/17/2007 North Carolina 25 +10.0 at Georgia Tech 27
11/11/2006 Georgia Tech 7 -13.5 at North Carolina 0
9/10/2005 North Carolina 21 +12.5 at Georgia Tech 27
9/18/2004 Georgia Tech 13 - 8.0 at North Carolina 34
11/15/2003 North Carolina 24 +10.5 at Georgia Tech 41
9/28/2002 Georgia Tech 21 + 0.0 at North Carolina 13
11/ 1/2001 North Carolina 21 + 5.5 at Georgia Tech 28
9/30/2000 Georgia Tech 42 + 3.0 at North Carolina 28
10/ 9/1999 North Carolina 24 +17.0 at Georgia Tech 31
9/26/1998 Georgia Tech 43 + 4.5 at North Carolina 21
10/30/1997 North Carolina 16 - 9.0 at Georgia Tech 13
9/21/1996 Georgia Tech 0 +11.5 at North Carolina 16
10/14/1995 North Carolina 25 - 2.5 at Georgia Tech 27
10/ 8/1994 Georgia Tech 24 +14.0 at North Carolina 31
10/16/1993 North Carolina 41 - 3.5 at Georgia Tech 3
10/24/1992 Georgia Tech 14 + 3.5 at North Carolina 26
10/26/1991 North Carolina 14 +10.5 at Georgia Tech 35
10/20/1990 Georgia Tech 13 -13.0 at North Carolina 13
average outcome:
North Carolina 25.2 Georgia Tech 26.3
margin = 1.03
time-weighted average outcome:
North Carolina 31.8 Georgia Tech 30.6
margin = -1.27
average result when the home team is Georgia Tech
North Carolina 23.3 Georgia Tech 27.0
margin = 3.73
average result when the home team is North Carolina
Georgia Tech 25.5 North Carolina 27.2
margin = 1.67
58.33 % of games went Over
61.54 % went Over at Georgia Tech
(since 1995 )
average total points per game = 51.50
time-weighted average total = 62.40
the home team covered 56.67 % of the time
the road team covered 43.33 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -0.55
the favorite covered 48.28 % of the time
the underdog covered 51.72 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -1.84
the favorite won SU 71.43 % of the time
North Carolina covered 46.67 % of the time
Georgia Tech covered 53.33 % of the time
Georgia Tech covered 60.00 % of the time at home
Georgia Tech covered 50.00 % of the time as home underdogs
Also of note here is that this isn’t a true home game for Georgia Tech. The game will not be played on campus. Instead, it will be played at the home of the Atlanta Falcons, Mercedes Benz Stadium. That works in the Tar Heels favor.
It’s hard to imagine Georgia Tech keeping pace with this North Carolina offense that seems to be back on track. Last season Tech had two games where they put points on the board and that was against Duke and Louisville.
Otherwise, the Yellow Jackets had trouble reaching 20 points. Here they run into a North Carolina team that hung 40+ points on the board 7 times last season and twice already in 2021.
We’ll lay it…