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Here’s a look at the score predictions from our model for the rest of the Week 12 NFL games. We run 3 sets of predictions, using full season data, the last 7 games only and the last 4 games only.
This is a great way to see the current form of the teams. The vast majority of methods used to make a line on a football game involve using stats from the entire season. However, often times, what happened in week 1 or week 4 is irrelevant come week 12 or week 14. Running the model with stats from different time frames solves this problem.
You’ll notice some predictions using full season data differ from the predictions using only the last 7 games.
1st score using full season data
2nd score using last 4 games data
3rd score using last 7 games data
Baltimore -4.0 25 Jacksonville 43.5 17 Baltimore -4.0 17 Jacksonville 43.5 15 Baltimore -4.0 23 Jacksonville 43.5 14 Denver -2.0 13 Carolina 36.5 16 Denver -2.0 11 Carolina 36.5 18 Denver -2.0 13 Carolina 36.5 18 Atlanta 42.5 16 Washington -4.5 26 Atlanta 42.5 10 Washington -4.5 31 Atlanta 42.5 14 Washington -4.5 24 Tampa Bay -3.0 17 Cleveland 42.5 23 Tampa Bay -3.0 16 Cleveland 42.5 28 Tampa Bay -3.0 17 Cleveland 42.5 28 Cincinnati -1.0 21 Tennessee 42.5 19 Cincinnati -1.0 15 Tennessee 42.5 32 Cincinnati -1.0 18 Tennessee 42.5 21 Houston 46.0 12 Miami -12.0 32 Houston 46.0 17 Miami -12.0 34 Houston 46.0 15 Miami -12.0 28 Chicago 41.0 14 NY Jets -4.5 25 Chicago 41.0 13 NY Jets -4.5 27 Chicago 41.0 15 NY Jets -4.5 27 Las Vegas 47.5 22 Seattle -3.5 29 Las Vegas 47.5 15 Seattle -3.5 26 Las Vegas 47.5 24 Seattle -3.5 31 LA Chargers -3.5 25 Arizona 47.5 26 LA Chargers -3.5 30 Arizona 47.5 18 LA Chargers -3.5 26 Arizona 47.5 27 LA Rams 44.0 16 Kansas City -14.5 30 LA Rams 44.0 11 Kansas City -14.5 32 LA Rams 44.0 14 Kansas City -14.5 33 New Orleans 42.0 17 San Francisco -8.0 24 New Orleans 42.0 11 San Francisco -8.0 24 New Orleans 42.0 23 San Francisco -8.0 26 Green Bay 46.5 16 Philadelphia -7.0 22 Green Bay 46.5 25 Philadelphia -7.0 17 Green Bay 46.5 18 Philadelphia -7.0 22 Pittsburgh 40.0 16 Indianapolis -2.5 16 Pittsburgh 40.0 18 Indianapolis -2.5 19 Pittsburgh 40.0 15 Indianapolis -2.5 17
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