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New York Jets

vs.

Oakland Raiders

NFL Pick

9/17/17

By Jason Green

The Jets lost their season opener where they only scored 12 points and with their issues on the offensive side of the ball they may be in for a very long season. No surprise they are very big betting underdogs on the road to a Raiders team that has Super Bowl aspirations with Derek Carr back and healthy. New York has lost seven of their last 10 road games. 

The Raiders are -13.5 point favs at betonline and 5 dimes with a total of 43.5

 

The Raiders got off to a good start to the season beating the Tennessee Titans on the road and they have their star QB Carr back. They beat the Titans by 10 points even though they only had nine more total yards and they did not force any turnovers. The Raiders are balanced with Carr and a legit offense and a solid defense. Will the crowd be the same as usual knowing their team is moving to Las Vegas in a couple of seasons? That will be interesting to see and maybe more interesting than the game with how bad the Jets may be.

These teams squared off last in the 2-15 season at Oakland where the Raiders beat the Jets 34-20.

The Jets lost to the Buffalo Bills 21-12 in their season opener and they have turned the rock over to QB Josh McCown, who has won only one of his last 18 starts. In the Buffalo game he was not very impressive passing for 187 yards with 0 TD and 2 INT. The RB duo of Matt Forte and Bilal Powell only combined for 38 rushing yards and for the Jets to have any chance in this game they will have to run the ball well, as counting on McCown to carry the team will not bring good results. The run game of NY will be facing a run defense of Oakland that gave uo 95 rushing yards in the win over Tennessee.

The Raiders beat the Titans 26-16 in their season opener with Carr going 22 for 32 for 262 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. He has one of the best WR tandems in the league with Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper, who combined for 145 receiving yards last week. Beast Mode Marshawn Lynch is back baby and rushed for 76 yards averaging 4.2 yards per carry and he has to look forward to facing a Jets’ run D that gave up 190 rushing yards in their loss to the Bills. Last season the Raiders were 5-2 at home.

Key Betting Trends

The Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 5 games the Under record is 4-1.

The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September, and in their last 28 home games they have an Over record of 20-6-2.

The Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Jets in Oakland.

In the last 5 games between these teams the Over record is 4-1. 

Jason’s Pick: The Raiders have high hopes while the Jets may be the worst team in the league. Yeah, they are getting 13.5 points, but they should be getting more. Carr will rip them a new one in the secondary and Lynch will have a big game. Don’t look for McCown to not look like himself and be a surprise, as this game will not be one with Oakland blowing out New York easily winning and covering the spread.


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