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2008 BIG 10
CONSECO FIELDHOUSE - INDIANAPOLIS, IN
Our Top 3 picks for the Big 10 Conference Tournament would be Wisconsin, Purdue and Indiana. All three teams are playing with some momentum right now as Wisconsin is 6-1 their last 7 and both Indiana and Purdue are 5-2. Purdue is 5-2 against the pointspread. What could make this interesting is that Purdue seems to have Wisconsin's number. Purdue beat Wisconsin both times they played this year.
Ohio State, Indiana and Michigan State all beat Purdue but did so at home. But remember folks, we are not just looking to pick the winners of these Conference Tournaments. We are looking to also pick pointspread winners. That is where all the value lies when betting on these conference tournaments. In looking for teams that may be undervalued in the Big 10, why not start with Illinois. When the betting public looks at Illinois, they are going to see a team that is 12-17 this year, (as of this writing on March 5th) and 4-12 in conference play. They are not going to want to throw their money on Illinois. However at closer look, we see that Illinois has played the 2nd toughest schedule in the entire country this year. They played some close games with some good teams. What this means is that we are likely to see an inflated pointspread when Illinois takes on the upper class of the Big 10. Finding an inflated pointspread in tournament play can translate into more winners than losers when betting these games.
You can find pointspread value with the bad teams as well. Iowa for example is 3-7 down the stretch but they were winners of 6 games against the pointspread in that span. Even the worst team in the conference, Northwestern, who only won one conference game all year and was 1-9 straight up over their last 10 games managed 5 pointspread winners in that span. A 50/50 proposition. The best pointspread team in the conference was Purdue this year at 16-11 ATS. The rest of the league was a few games above or below .500. Take the top team Wisconsin and the bottom team Northwestern. Wisconsin was 13-12 against the pointspread while Northwestern had 10 pointspread winners and 13 pointspread losers.
Remember, many more people bet these tournament games than the regular season. Whether online or the thousands that flock to Vegas Sportsbooks to watch these games, the handle on these games is huge when compared to the regular season. The public does not like to bet on bad teams. They fall in love with teams like Wisconsin. Their handicapping usually consists of looking at the records of the two teams. That's where you can step in and take advantage. Le them push their money through the windows on the obvious favorites while you sit back and take advantage of the inflated pointspreads they create!
Two choices to help you find March Madness value are our Free Tournament Picks or we also have the very economical Consensus Club offering the strongest picks on the board from the very best sports services in the country.
2008 Big Ten Men's
Basketball Tournament Schedule
3/13/08 Game 1: #8 Seed vs. #9 Seed Noon ET Big Ten Network
3/13/08 Game 2: #7 Seed vs. #10 Seed 2:30 p.m. ET ESPN2
3/13/08 Game 3: #6 Seed vs. #11 Seed 5 p.m. ET ESPN2
3/14/08 Game 4: #1 Seed vs. Game 1 Winner Noon ET ESPN
3/14/08 Game 5: #4 Seed vs. #5 Seed 2:30 p.m. ET ESPN
3/14/08 Game 6: #2 vs. Game 2 Winner 6:30 p.m. ET Big Ten Network
3/14/08 Game 7: #3 Seed vs. Game 3 Winner 9 p.m. ET* Big Ten Network
3/15/08 Game 8: Game 4 Winner vs. Game 5 Winner 1:40 p.m. ET CBS
3/15/08 Game 9: Game 6 Winner vs. Game 7 Winner 4:05 p.m. ET CBS
3/16/08 Championship Game: 3:30 p.m. ET CBS
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