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Saints

vs.

Bucs

NFL Pick

Betting Trends

9/15/13

The Bucs, fresh off a humiliating loss to the Jets, host the New Orleans Saints who are coming off a week 1 home win over Matty Ice and the Falcons. The Saints are -3 point favorites at GTBets this week with a total of 47. The Saints took both games in this series a year ago, a 41-0 blowout at home and a 35-28 win on the road at Tampa.

The betting trends at sportsbook.com show that 68% of the action has been on the Saints this week and that they also are in love with the over as 93% of the action thus far is on the over 47 despite 5 of the last 6 in this series going under the total.

This could be a dangerous spot for the Saints. The Bucs are fuming from last weeks loss and a glance back to last season shows the Bucs being a very competitive team against some of the better teams in the NFL, especially at home. Our take on the Bucs coming into this year was that they'd be in every game this year with a chance to win. That being said, we're going to buck the public here with BOTH the side and the total and go the opposite way. Bucs +3 and Under 47

 

SAINTS
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay


BUCS
Tampa Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

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