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Rams

vs.

49ers

Week 3

NFL Pick

9/21/17 

The Rams took their first loss of their season in their last game and this will be their first road game after moving to La La Land. 2nd year QB Jared Goff has gotten off to a good pretty good start this season after a terrible rookie campaign, but his late interception last week against the Washington Redskins doomed the Rams. The Rams are currently -2 point favs at 5 dimes sportsbook.

The 49ers are 0-2, but they had to come away with a little confidence in their last game holding the Seattle Seahawks to only 12 points where they were a double-digit underdog at home. Still, San Fran is winless and their offense has yet to score a TD after two games. Last season the 49ers won both match ups against the Rams and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight games when facing the Rams.

Last season the 49ers only won two games with both wins coming against the Rams.

In their last game the Rams lost to the Redskins 27-20. They did not let Kirk Cousins have a big passing day, but they gave up 229 yards on the ground and it did not help at all that they had two turnovers while not forcing any. Goff passed for 224 yards with a TD, but his late pick kept them from tying or winning the game when they were down by seven points late in the game. Todd Gurley rushed for 88 yards on a solid 5.5 yard per carry average and the Rams need to ride him more as the season goes on.

The Rams will be facing a San Francisco defense that was admirable in their last game in the loss to the Seahawks giving up 312 yards holding them to only 12 points.

The 49ers lost to the Seahawks 12-9 in their last game, which was far from a barnburner. They did play good D, but they only had 248 total yards and their offense may be their issue this season. Brian Hoyer has been given a less than stellar WR corps and in the Seattle game he only passed for 99 yards with one TD and one INT and only averaged 3.7 yards per reception, so the Rams will load the box since San Fran does not have a legit deep threat. One silver lining in the loss to the Seahawks was the play of RB Carlos Hyde, who rushed for 124 yards with a 61-yard scamper. Hyde and the 49ers have to run the ball in this game and keep it a low scoring affair like last week, as there is no way they can get into a shootout.

Key Betting Trends

The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and in their last four games the Over record is 4-0.

The 49ers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games, 1-7 ATS in their last home games, and in their last 29 home games the Under record is 21-8.

The 49ers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games against the Rams.

Jason’s Pick: In the last five games between these teams the underdog has covered the spread four times and that is a trend that will continue. OK, so the 49ers have major issues, but at home and against the Rams they will cover the spread getting 2 points on home field.

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